June 7, 2024 | Bank of Canada Cuts Rates and Sends The Market a Signal
The Bank of Canada cut interest rates by 25 bps on Wednesday and the ECB made a similar cut on Thursday. This marks a significant moment in the history of interest rate policy changes and could be a turning point. CPI Inflation has moderated enough (2.7 percent) to allow cuts without a loss of credibility. […]
June 7, 2024 | Will We See 1 or 2 Percent Interest Rates Again?
Despite government policies, oil isn’t going away
June 7, 2024 | AI Going to Drive Power Demand Sky High
Meme stocks a great way to lose money
June 7, 2024 | Why Falling Central Bank Rates are Bad News
Is AI the new dot com bubble?
June 6, 2024 | Bank of Canada Cuts by 25 basis points, to 4.75% as Economy and Inflation Slowed. QT Continues
“With continued evidence that underlying inflation is easing,” the Bank of Canada said today that “monetary policy no longer needs to be as restrictive,” and it cut policy interest rates by 25 basis points, as widely expected. But QT will continue, the statement said. The BOC has already shed 64% of the securities it had […]
June 6, 2024 | What Would Josey Wales Do?
“Now remember, when things look bad and it looks like you’re not gonna make it, then you gotta get mean. I mean plumb, mad-dog mean. ‘Cause if you lose your head and you give up then you neither live nor win. That’s just the way it is.” – Josey Wales “To hell with them fellas. […]
June 6, 2024 | The Biden Mask, Q, Climax Event
Climate change hoax, Inflationary Depression
June 6, 2024 | Time to Be Cautious in the Stock Market
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June 5, 2024 | WTI Crude Plunges Over US$4/B To US$73.10/B As OPEC Plans To Open The Spigots in Q4/24
OPEC’s announcement to gradually phase out the 2.2 Mb/d of quota cuts (starting October 1st) was not received well by the markets. In the details an agreement to give the UAE a 300 Kb/d addition to their quota, and continued cheating by Iraq and Nigeria resulted in a knockout blow to crude prices over the […]
June 4, 2024 | The Major Fractal Wave of the Economic Confidence Model & 2032.95
Here is the Economic Confidence Model at the very high end to all the questions about how high up the fractal structure can be defined. We are in the grand Public Wave overall that peaks in 2032.85. This is the equivalent of the wave that picked the Peak of Rome in 175 AD. So here, […]
June 3, 2024 | Art of the Collapse, June 2024
Looks like the Aristocracy has finally stopped pretending to be the good guys. George Washington is not impressed: ‘250 Years Wasn’t A Bad Run,’ Says George Washington Looking On From Heaven Babylon Bee — Watching as the last vestige of the nation he helped found crumbled, George Washington sighed and remarked that America still had […]
June 2, 2024 | Market’s Insanity Is Tightly Scripted
Speaking of my fellow gurus, our switchboards have lit up to warn that something big is looming. Even the oddballs who think stocks are headed much higher seem to agree that a punitive correction is long overdue. And although each of us would like to believe that the arrival time of whatever dreadnought is coming […]
June 1, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes For June 1, 2024
Let the cuts begin The Bank of Canada may announce a 25bps cut (from 5.25%) on Wednesday (markets are pricing a 75% chance), and the ECB is expected to announce a 25bps cut (from 4.50%) on Thursday. The Fed is not likely to cut rates at its June 12 meeting. The net speculative short positioning in Canadian dollar futures is […]
June 1, 2024 | This Week in Money
- Ross Clark: Stock Markets, Dow Theory, Gold, Silver, Oil, USD, Canadian Dollar, Cocoa. Special Offer! 25% Off New Annual Subscriptions.
- Robert Campbell: (11:01) Real Estate, Gold, Silver, Financial Security.
- Wolf Richter: (58:37) Oversupply of Vehicles, Overflowing Car Dealerships, US Consumers.
May 31, 2024 | German Property Price Crash Will Not Become a Crisis
Germany property prices are plummeting. Prices for commercial properties and multi-family buildings are dropping with insolvencies and foreclosures soaring. Even house prices are falling. The housing market in Germany is very different from the U.S., Canada and Australia, particularly in the terms and amount of financing available to buy a house for a first-time buyer. […]
May 31, 2024 | Rate Cuts Will Mean Recession Is Upon Us
Risky Junk Bonds Becoming Popular
May 30, 2024 | The Silver Secret
Two of the oldest commodities known to man, gold and silver, share a history dating back thousands of years. The role of gold has changed little through the passage of time. The same cannot be said for silver. In fact, it is the remarkable transformation in the usage of silver that has set the stage […]
May 30, 2024 | Are We Seeing “Sell in May” Play Out?
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May 30, 2024 | Is Canada Already In Recession?
No thought given to equity investment risk
May 30, 2024 | Why Younger Adults Won’t Invest in Precious Metals
Chinese stock market picking up
May 30, 2024 | Markets in Danger of Major Slippage
Which stock is the bell-weather for the markets?
May 29, 2024 | The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, April 2024 Update. Biggest Price Drops from 2022 Peak in San Francisco, Seattle, Phoenix, Portland, Denver, Las Vegas, Dallas
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, released today and dubbed “March,” is a three-month moving average of home prices whose sales were entered into public records in January, February, and March. So that’s the time-frame we’re looking at here. It reflects Rate-Cut Mania that commenced in November and peaked February 13, when the first of three […]
May 28, 2024 | Commodities Trade Differently
All commodities, including gold, trade substantially differently than stocks or real estate. Pictured here is wheat back to 1200. Note that you see what appears to be a brain wave. Commodities trade differently because they are subject to nature. Manufactured items can be produced on a more regular basis. However, commodities are subject to weather, […]
May 27, 2024 | Hoping for the Cut
Happy monday morning! The Bank of Canada got the news they needed ahead of their rate announcement on June 05. CPI inflation decelerated to 2.7% year-over-year in April, down from 2.9% in March, and remaining below the upper end of the Bank of Canada’s 1% to 3% target range for the fourth consecutive month. The […]
May 26, 2024 | Artificially Intelligent
When new inventions turn into market frenzies, the contrarian part of me wants to be skeptical. But the optimistic part of me wants it to be true, especially when the idea promises to change life for the better. Reality is usually somewhere in between. And that, I suspect, is where the current artificial intelligence frenzy […]