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August 26, 2025 | Unaudited Power: The Military Budget Nobody Controls
From Scheerpost The U.S. federal debt has now passed $37 trillion and is growing at the rate of $1 trillion every five months. Interest on the debt exceeds $1 trillion annually, second only to Social Security in the federal budget. The military outlay is also close to $1 trillion, consuming nearly half of the discretionary […]
August 25, 2025 | The Renewal Wall is Here
Happy Monday Morning! The housing market might be struggling but lenders are keeping busy. Data from the Bank of Canada shows uninsured mortgage originations surged in June, rising 27.5% year-over-year, the second busiest June on record. The only busier June for mortgage originations was back in 2021 when mortgage rates were hovering near 1.5%. Source: […]
August 25, 2025 | 1 Million Migrants Flooded Swing States Ahead of US Election
The motives behind the open border policy are numerous, but one undeniable motive was encouraging an influx of potential voters who would vote for the party subsidizing their lives. Pew Research recently conducted a poll and looked at the illegal alien population between 2021 and 2023. Not so coincidentally, the Biden Administration resettled over […]
August 24, 2025 | Soaring Inventory Is (Finally) Cutting Home Prices
In just the past few years, US houses have gone from pricey to historically unaffordable: Since people can’t buy what they can’t afford, home sales have cratered to ridiculously low levels: History now predicts a housing crash In a typical housing bubble, prices get too high, buyers go on strike, and then sellers panic. […]
August 24, 2025 | Numbers Behaving Badly
If you are an investor, an economist, or really anyone who watches big trends, numbers are your friends. They help you understand events you can’t personally observe. Like human friends, numbers aren’t perfect. Sometimes they mislead you, even when they don’t mean to. At other times they’re just wrong. Maybe they mean well but don’t […]
August 24, 2025 | Danielle on CBC Weekend Business Panel
Here is a direct video link.
August 23, 2025 | Trading Desk Notes for August 23, 2025
Powell was more dovish than expected at Jackson Hole Powell’s speech on Friday morning was the most anticipated financial event of the week. Following the hotter-than-expected PPI report last week (which may have foreshadowed higher tariff-induced inflation ahead), markets were positioned for Powell to maintain his inflation hawk role. Following the August 14 PPI report (blue […]
August 23, 2025 | John Bolton & the Deep State
John Bolton is one of the most entrenched Neocons in Washington. The FBI raided John Bolton’s home and office yesterday, August 22, 2025, as part of a national security investigation focused on classified records. This investigation is linked to potential leaks of classified documents to the media and began during the Biden administration. Bolton, […]
August 23, 2025 | Tech Talk for Saturday August 23rd 2025
The Bottom Line Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s Jackson Hole Symposium speech on Friday morning triggered significant buying: Expectation of a reduction in the Fed Fund Rate at the next FOMC meeting on September 17th triggered purchases of both U.S. equities and bonds. The S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average SPDRs (DIA) […]
August 22, 2025 | Russia to Join NATO?
Congressman Matt Gaetz proposed a radical peacetime solution – allow Russia to join NATO. “Before you suggest I’m crazy for thinking about NATO and Russia as partners, the idea has been floated by foreign policy thinkers on the right and left for some time,” Gaetz added. “In 1997, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee held a […]
August 22, 2025 | The U.S. Stock Market is Riding High and Heading For Trouble
Riding High — and Heading for Trouble The U.S. stock market keeps climbing higher, as the warnings of a bubble about to burst get louder. The comparisons to 1999–2000 are hard to ignore. Then, it was internet stocks; today, it’s artificial intelligence. Valuations at Extremes One of the best long-term measures of value, the Shiller […]
August 22, 2025 | AI Over-Exuberance Comparable To 2000 Internet-Inspired Bubble
A new MIT report concludes that 95% of generative artificial intelligence (AI) pilots are failing to translate into revenue growth: The GenAI Divide: State of AI in Business 2025, a new report published by MIT’s NANDA initiative, reveals that while generative AI holds promise for enterprises, most initiatives to drive rapid revenue growth are falling flat. Despite the rush to […]
August 22, 2025 | Mike Adams on the “Depopulation Agenda”
The aristocrats who rule the world are greedy. They’re implementing tech to replace most workers, whom they view as competition for crucial resources. And now they’ve decided to cull the herd. That, in brief, is a theory that’s gaining a lot of adherents these days. Mike Adams, of NaturalNews and Brighteon, just posted one of the best (and […]
August 21, 2025 | Crude Oil Falls >US$5/b From Last Week On Growing Supplies And Weak Summer Demand
WTI Crude oil prices are steady at US$62.83/b (low today so far US$62.39/b) compared to US$62.14/b last week at this time. This on US Total Stocks decline of 4.0 Mb. Exports rose 795 Kb/d (weekly increase of 5.6 Mb) to 4.37 Mb/d and is up from 4.05 Mb/d last year. It appears that countries wanting […]
August 21, 2025 | Pump and Dump Scams Are All The Rage (encore)
More cautionary signs of mania behaviour in financial markets, see “Investors lose billions on meme stocks as ‘pump and dump’ scams multiply“: Investors lost billions of dollars in July betting on a handful of small US-listed Chinese stocks that plunged in value shortly after being heavily promoted on social media. Seven Nasdaq-listed microcap stocks — Concorde […]
August 21, 2025 | Schwab Cleared – Fink and Hoffman Take Over WEF
Ousted World Economic Forum founder Klaus Schwab has been cleared on any criminal wrongdoing following an ongoing investigation into fraud. “Following a thorough review of all facts, the Board has concluded that … there is no evidence of material wrongdoing by Klaus Schwab,” the board announced. As mentioned in earlier posts, the WEF after […]
August 20, 2025 | Statistics Canada for July
The headlines in Canada celebrate that inflation has fallen to 1.7% in July, but as in America, the people are not experiencing a notable downturn in prices. Politicians pat themselves on the back, claiming victory over inflation, yet the very reason CPI came down was because energy prices fell after the consumer carbon tax was […]
August 20, 2025 | Housing Demand at 30-Year Low
US homebuyer demand dropped again in June 2025 – with contract signings for houses declining 2.8% year-over-year to one of the lowest levels on record. At this point, homebuyer interest in the market is even lower than what was experienced in the depths of the 2008 housing crash. The question is: will we see a […]
August 19, 2025 | Self-Dealing Allows PE To Keep Marking Asset Values To Fantasy
As new outside investors become increasingly difficult to find, private equity firms are finding that often the best firm to sell their companies to is…themselves. Yep, you read that right. Private equity firms are increasingly keeping themselves afloat, extracting cash and boosting their fees through self-sold transactions. See: PEs Sell Firms to Themselves Twice Over to […]
August 18, 2025 | If You Do Not Know Your Enemy – You Will Be Defeated
COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I have to commend you. You are the only true analyst who has genuine sources. You have maintained that Putin has wanted peace, not to take all of Ukraine. A close friend of mine in the German government admitted that you have some of the best sources because you speak to […]
August 18, 2025 | The Suburbs
Happy Monday Morning! National home sales continue to rebound since the resale market slowed to a halt following the shock of a tariff war. The number of home sales rose for a fourth consecutive month, rising 3.8% on a month-over-month basis in July. Home sales are now up a cumulative 11.2% since March and a […]
August 18, 2025 | Would-Be-Sellers Dwarf Buyers in Many Markets
The housing unaffordability crisis is not just about current interest rates, which are historically average (4.71% 5-year fixed in Canada and 6.57% 30-year fixed in America). Homebuilders are already offering buy-down rates in the 3 percent range in the US and Canada. Still, new home sales have contracted year over year, while the inventory of […]
August 17, 2025 | We Now Have the Problem Everyone Wants Is it time to take profits?
In the last five years, gold has done this: And so far this year, GDX (an ETF that owns most of the large gold miners), has done this: As a result, we now have the problem that every investor wants: serious paper profits that we’d like to protect. But how do we do that? Is […]
August 17, 2025 | Carbon Butter – You Will Eat Synthetic Food
You are the carbon that they wish to eliminate. “You will eat bugs,” as the infamous Klaus Schwab line goes, was merely the beginning of what the globalists intent on ushering in the Great Reset have planned for the masses. Food production is bad for the environment, therefore, the people must resort to lab-created synthetic […]
August 17, 2025 | Trump Must Outrun the Inevitable Bear Market
Trump looks like a hero now, but he could become a goat when the bull market ends. He campaigned as the man who would make America great again, and no one should doubt the sincerity of this quest or his commitment to returning the nation to its core values. To judge from his accomplishments so […]