ALWAYS CONSULT YOUR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION
April 21, 2025 | How to Judge Those Gold Miner “Free Cash Flow” Numbers
We’re entering the age of free cash flow (FCF), in which gold miners start trumpeting the size and growth of this metric in every public utterance. So we’ll need an analytical tool for judging whose FCF — and by implication, stock — is most valuable. Resourceful Insights’ George Billman just posted a quick way to put a […]
April 20, 2025 | Gold Is Becoming “Monetary Infrastructure”
Why is gold marching steadily higher while everything else is trading chaotically? An X thread from @mcm_ct_usa offers a useful— and for gold bugs, very exciting —explanation. Here’s a condensed version: Gold is quietly being re-monetized—and most people don’t see it. Here’s what’s happening, why it matters, and why it’s not priced in. This is for anyone […]
April 16, 2025 | Poetic Justice For Private Equity
Private equity, like so many other Wall Street “innovations,” is a benign-sounding idea that has morphed into a kind of financial cancer. Let’s see if it kills the patient. First, the concept: Private equity refers to the practice of rich guys pooling their money and hunting for companies to buy. Once they get one, they […]
April 15, 2025 | Health Prepping: Did AI Just Cut Cancer Risk by 90%?
Artificial intelligence promises a lot of things. And sometimes it delivers. One possible case in point: Doctors Justus R. Hope and Paul E. Marik specialize in finding new uses for existing drugs, and recently asked an AI to look through all available studies (something way beyond the abilities of human researchers) involving supplements’ impact on cancer risk. […]
April 14, 2025 | Confused? Join the Club: Inflation Plunges While Inflation Expectations Spike
Talk about cross-currents. Oil, which affects the cost of pretty much everything, is down about 15% so far this month. That’s extremely deflationary. Housing, meanwhile, is right up there with oil for its impact on the cost of living. And home price inflation is rapidly headed for zero overall, with many formerly hot markets already […]
April 13, 2025 | Time to Take Profits in Gold Mining Stocks? Jim Rickards Says Not Yet
Suddenly, gold miner shareholders have the problem everyone wants: They’ve made fairly serious recent money and now must decide whether to convert some of their paper profits to cash. Anyone who’s been round-tripped in a big position understands how serious this question is. Jim Rickards, author of a series of best-selling investment books, just weighed […]
April 10, 2025 | Gold Miners: Great Q1 Earnings Coming
We’re heading into another earnings season, and with gold outperforming pretty much everything else, this one is looking even better for the miners than Q4. For context, here’s the XAU gold/silver miners index for the past six months. Note the nice run that started when excellent Q4 miner earnings combined with a rising gold price: And for […]
April 8, 2025 | Watch the Gold/Silver Ratio
Just a quick reminder that in times of market stress, gold and silver will sometimes diverge, with gold catching a safe haven bid and silver selling off as a cyclical industrial commodity. During such times, silver can get very cheap relative to gold, an imbalance that’s usually rectified by silver outperforming for a while. This […]
April 6, 2025 | Deflation Watch: Cheaper Oil = Cheaper Everything = Plunging Interest Rates
This post’s title sketches out a formula that ends with the world’s governments panic-printing their currencies. To flesh out the thesis, let’s start with energy’s impact on our cost of living: Energy Is In Everything Pretty much all of life’s necessities have an energy component. A car, for instance, requires electricity and petrochemicals to build […]
April 4, 2025 | How Do We Play This Bear Market?
Pretty much every “buy” recommendation in this newsletter has come with a version of this caveat: We’re in the late stages of a long credit expansion, which means a potentially brutal recession and/or bear market is likely imminent. So approach these stocks with caution. Don’t jump in all at once. Instead, add to positions in […]
April 3, 2025 | What Just Happened? Part 1: Gold and Silver Fall Hard
Gold and silver are being pulled down by a general equities bear market this morning. That’s not surprising, but the details are interesting. Some background: Rush to get gold to the U.S. halts abruptly with tariff exemption (Bloomberg) – A massive arbitrage trade that has drawn tens of billions of dollars’ worth of gold and […]
April 1, 2025 | Art of the Collapse, April 2025
Two strange and unprecedented things (“scandals,” “outrages” — it’s hard to know what to call them) are triggering meme-makers as this is written. First, Elon Musk morphed from industrialist to government efficiency crusader, in the process enraging the segment of the population that owns Teslas, leading them to … vandalize Teslas: The other thing was that government […]
March 30, 2025 | Seven Charts That Put the Gold Bull Market in Context
Remember that long, boring stretch where gold couldn’t break resistance at $2,000/oz? Here it is in the context of this century’s bull market — note the definitive breakout in early 2024. What’s driving the bull market? Central bank buying. And what’s driving that? Geopolitics. Emerging market central banks started planning for a post-dollar world when the Ukraine […]
March 24, 2025 | Recession Watch: Cratering Condos and Creeped-Out Consumers
Most of the following charts are from Wolf Street or the Kobeissi letter. Definitely follow those guys. Cratering Condos There’s no way to overstate how crazy US home prices have become. To take just one metric, the median US household income is $79,200, but it takes an annual income of $124,200 to buy the average American house. That’s […]
March 23, 2025 | $3,000 Gold = Gold Miner Acquisition Binge
Gold hit $3,000/oz last week. I’ve been waiting a long time to write that sentence! Now get ready for a torrent of gold miner cash flow to ignite a takeover boom. Mining analyst Marin Katusa just posted some thoughts on what this means. Here’s an excerpt: Gold Miners, the New Margin Monsters Most gold mines have costs […]
March 21, 2025 | Is Silver Being Suppressed?
Bubble Bubble Report’s Jesse Colombo just weighed in on the “Why isn’t silver $100!?” debate with a compelling case for manipulation. Here’s an excerpt: The mechanics of silver price suppression Many precious metals investors have heard about silver manipulation or suspected it, but few fully understand how it works or can clearly explain it. Many also […]
March 20, 2025 | Health Prepping: Stop Poisoning Yourself
Back in the nutritional Dark Ages, my wife and I would take our kids to McDonald’s and give them a choice of Sprite or Coke with their burgers and fries. We didn’t know at the time that the whole menu was just empty calories. Sorry kids! But it’s way worse than that. This is the […]
March 17, 2025 | The MSM Discovers Copper
Copper has had a quietly impressive run so far in 2025. But much more is coming as mainstream investors tune into the story. Consider this, from NPR of all places: Forget about rare earth minerals. We need more copper (NPR) – In recent weeks, you’ve likely heard a lot about rare-earth substances, thanks to President Trump’s stalled […]
March 16, 2025 | Nomi Prins: Time to Buy the Uranium Dip
Nomi Prins just posted an explanation for the uranium miners’ recent correction, and why it’s a buying opportunity for those who missed the previous big run. Here’s an excerpt: Why NOW is the Time for Uranium Here’s the latest outlook on uranium and what you need to know about the factors impacting its price. As we round […]
March 14, 2025 | Civil War in the UK?
I just watched a disturbingly plausible video about the rising odds of a UK civil war. The source is David Betz, a professor of “war in the modern world” at King’s College, London. He recently published an article titled Civil War Comes to the West in Military Strategy Magazine, in which he claimed that multiculturalism and mass immigration […]
March 12, 2025 | Gold Porn, Part 2: It’s a Real Bull Market
Gold (and now silver) are starting to do things not seen for over a decade. And the resulting charts are just gorgeous. Some recent examples: Foreign central banks are moving out of US Treasuries and into gold: Overindebted countries are cranking the money printing up to panic levels: Gold and silver are responding with identical […]
March 8, 2025 | Rhyming History: The 1990s Dot-Com Bubble
After World War II, the US and its allies were worried about staying in touch during a nuclear war. So they (I’m vastly over-simplifying here) created networking protocols and tools that eventually became the Internet. At first, these links were limited to scientists and the military. But as the tech was refined, it became clear […]
March 6, 2025 | Germany Chooses Inflation. Bond Investors Say “No Thanks”
Germans are known for their aversion to monetary instability, with good reason. They were victims of an epic hyperinflation in the 1920s, and don’t want to go back there. See: Rhyming History: Weimar Germany’s Hyperinflation. Now fast forward to the 2010s, when Germany was widely seen as both the best-run major country and the financial bedrock of […]
February 28, 2025 | Art of the Collapse, March 2025
Lots of disclosures are being promised…but there’s a bit of skepticism out there: POV: Elon Musk and DOGE arriving at Fort Knox for the audit. pic.twitter.com/Zgl599XMXy — Carl ₿ MENGER ⚡️🇸🇻 (@CarlBMenger) February 17, 2025 NSA Agents Horrified People Spying On Their Personal Conversations (Babylon Bee) – A group of federal employees expressed feelings […]
February 26, 2025 | Weirdest Housing Bubble Ever
Real estate is cyclical, which means it has its booms and busts, each of which differs slightly from the last. But today’s US housing market is so outside the norm that its strangeness has become the story’s main theme. Consider: Numerically speaking, housing used to be driven by young families buying starter houses. But today, […]