
Martin Armstrong
Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.
April 15th, 2025 | War Fever in Europe Going Crazy
Armstrong Economics - COMMENT: Dear Marty! These are original advertising posters for war bonds from 1914-1918 from the former monarchy. I thought this might be of interest to you. I took the photos myself here. I hereby grant you all rights for publication on your blog. Many people all over the world owe you and your tireless […]
April 14th, 2025 | US-China Tensions Rise – Tariffs not the Concern
Armstrong Economics - China and the United States are accustomed to trade wars. China is handling it as a business matter, but the bigger perceived threat is America’s involvement in the Taiwan Strait. The Chinese Defense Ministry issued a statement declaring that the United States has threatened national security by providing F-16 fighter aircraft to the Philippines […]
April 13th, 2025 | Living on the Edge
Armstrong Economics - The U.S.-China trade war is an ongoing economic conflict that began in January 2018, characterized by the imposition of tariffs and trade barriers by both countries. Recently, tensions escalated as the U.S. raised tariffs on Chinese goods to 145%, prompting China to retaliate with tariffs of 125% on U.S. imports, affecting global supply chains […]
April 11th, 2025 | ActBlue Scandal – Democratic Party Funded by Fraud
Armstrong Economics - ActBlue is a self-proclaimed grassroots fundraising platform for the Democratic Party. The Democrats want the public to believe that the everyday American fully supports them, but the truth has come to light after an ongoing investigation found that the organization has been upheld by dark money from both “foreign and domestic fraudulent actors.” […]
April 10th, 2025 | The Media Coup to Undermine Trump & Transform Republicans into Democrats
Armstrong Economics - Bloomberg has actually come out as proclaimed: “With the Nasdaq 100 already in a bear market, soon it may be the S&P 500’s turn.” All we hear are hysterical forecasts, all emotionally charged because the number one thing they taught in economics class was the Democratic propaganda from the 1932 election – Tariffs & Protectionism […]
April 8th, 2025 | China is the Auto Capital of the World
Armstrong Economics - China is the world’s largest car producer and exporter. A little-known fact is that China first became the world’s largest car exporter back in 2023, with low-cost EV companies BYD and Chery in the spotlight. The nation’s auto sector has been steadily expanding since then, with Chinese brands reaching an all-time high of 69.4% of […]
April 7th, 2025 | Part II – Gold Manipulation?
Armstrong Economics - PART II QUESTION: Is he breaking the London metals dealers’ hold to suppress the gold price? FD ANSWER: I am tired hearing the same constant bullshit about gold is suppress intentionally by dealers and that is why it is not $10,000. I have traded against these people for years. Here is a clip from the Forecast with […]
April 6th, 2025 | China Retaliates with Tariffs and Trade Restrictions
Armstrong Economics - China imposed a 34% retaliatory tariff on all US goods that will go into effect on April 10. Nations everywhere are beginning to impose their own penalties on US goods. April 2, “Liberation Day,” may well be remembered as the beginning of the end for Trump’s legacy. Trump hit China with a 34% tariff […]
Armstrong Economics - For all the criticism of Trump and the risk of a global trade war, as Macron wants to unleash a trade war to elevate France to the top of the EU, if we just look at the data, we can see why Trump has taken this approach. Even those Republicans like Rand Paul joining […]
April 3rd, 2025 | Tariffs are NOT Reciprocal
Armstrong Economics - How did the Trump Administration come up with these tariff rates? Why would a nation like Madagascar, for example, with a small economy, be hit with a 47% tariff? Reciprocal tariffs were determined based on America’s trade deficit with other nations. They took each nation’s trade surplus with the US by total exports and […]
April 2nd, 2025 | Japan, China, and South Korea Strengthen Ties Amid US Tariffs
Armstrong Economics - Tariff concerns have heightened to such an extreme level that China and Japan are discussing deepening ties. Donald Trump may be awarded a Nobel Peace Prize for that one. Japan and China, along with South Korea, held their first trade discussions in half a decade where they agreed to navigate US tariffs. One of the […]
April 1st, 2025 | Are States & Provinces Destined to Default by 2034?
Armstrong Economics - You have to wonder why we have the most incompetent people in government, perhaps in history. While there is not a single leader in Europe who I would even want to have a drink with or shake hands, we see the same on the LEFT in the United States. No matter how often they […]
March 31st, 2025 | WHO Cuts Budget by 20% – A Kick to the Great Reset
Armstrong Economics - The World Health Organization admitted that it has “no choice” but to cut its budget substantially. America’s exodus from the organization left the WHO with a budget gap of $600 million for FY2025, and it plans to cut expenditures by 20%. The United States provided 16.3% of all funding from FY2022-2023, amounting to $1.3 […]
March 30th, 2025 | The Danger of Traveling with Gold
Armstrong Economics - Two men were pulled over while driving on I-20 in Texas, carrying $250,000 worth of gold bars. US law permits and encourages law enforcement to confiscate assets. Civil asset forfeiture enables the government to simply seize assets and declare that the owner is guilty of money laundering before any due process occurs. “We have […]
March 28th, 2025 | The Golden Visa Program Begins
Armstrong Economics - President Trump established the Golden Visa program to attract wealthy immigrants. The program will replace the EB-5 visa program, created in 1990, as a route to American citizenship for those willing to invest $1 million in an American company. Updated criteria now require a $5 million investment for fast-tracked citizenship, and the program has proved to be […]
March 27th, 2025 | Canada’s Provincial Trade Barriers
Armstrong Economics - Several readers were surprised to hear that Canada imposes provincial “tariffs” or trade barriers that simply act as tariffs. Canadian politicians have been promoting a marketing campaign against US-imposed tariffs, but must recognize that their own domestic policy is hurting the Canadian economy in a massive way. Canada’s tariff rate on international imports averages 1.4%, […]
March 26th, 2025 | The Kallas Plan – Destroy Russia AND Europe
Armstrong Economics - The European External Action Service is intended to ensure diplomacy and peace throughout Europe, but the new head, Kaja Kallas, has been promoting the opposite. “[T]he European Union wants Ukraine to win this war” against Russia, Kallas tweeted out. Her response prompted ten European diplomats to speak out. “She (Kallas) is still acting like a prime […]
March 25th, 2025 | American CFOs Believe Tariffs Will Cause Recession – Confidence is Dying
Armstrong Economics - American businesses are losing confidence in the US economy under Trump due to the tariff wars. CNBC’s CFO Council quarterly survey for Q1 2025 learned that America’s top CFOs are increasingly pessimistic about the economy due to these “disruptive” and “aggressive” tariff policies. Around 60% of respondents believe the US will fall into a […]
March 24th, 2025 | Is Carney Going to Put the Final Nail in the Coffin for Canada?
Armstrong Economics - COMMENT: Martin, I am extremely concerned about what is going on in Canada. Max Carnage has called an election in 30days! Elections Canada now needs to find an estimated 285,000 temporary workers. What could possibly go wrong? This is completely insane for what will be arguably the most import election in Canadian History! So many […]
March 23rd, 2025 | The Unvaxed
Armstrong Economics - COMMENT: Marty, Cheer up. They are coming for you! Gene REPLY: Well, I can’t outrun that many. Hopefully, one is interested in financial markets. Then maybe. When I went to a new doctor, she asked if I was vaccinated, and I said, “NO!” She replied, “Good!“ She worked last at the VA and quit over government policy.
March 22nd, 2025 | Mt Spurr Alaska – Activity Rising
Armstrong Economics - COMMENT: Marty, Here in Alaska, we have been put on alert that Mt Spurr may erupt soon. Your computer has been remarkable projecting these trend of rising volcanic activity here in 2025 and we are still in the first quarter. Do you have any historical analysis of Mt. Spurr? Rob REPLY: Mount Spurr, a stratovolcano […]
March 20th, 2025 | Violence Against Tesla Owners is Outrageous
Armstrong Economics - The radical left is extremely dangerous when angered. The intense hatred of Elon Musk has caused a worldwide pandemonium where misplaced raged is directed at Tesla owners. Tesla was once celebrated by the left for championing EV technology, and perhaps favored by those on the left. Now, we are seeing countless daily occurrences of […]
March 19th, 2025 | Powell – The Fed- Inflation – Recession
Armstrong Economics - Jerome Powell kept rates unchanged as our computer was projecting. However, he did weigh in on the state of the US economy, pointing out that Donald Trump’s policies were one reason why inflation is turning back up. He also reduced the Fed’s 2025 growth projection, noting that uncertainty around the slowing economy is increasing. The […]
Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Did your sources tell you that Putin would reject the complete cease-fire? You seem always to be spot on. FK ANSWER: In all honesty, you shouldn’t even need sources for that. The Europeans have been undermining Trump at every turn. Putin would be a fool to accept a complete caesar-fire because Zelensky is an […]
March 17th, 2025 | Understanding Gold
Armstrong Economics - COMMENT: Thank you for your honest analysis of gold. Whenever someone talks about gold and inflation, they are not accurate analysts but mouth the same propaganda that has been prevalent since the fall of Bretton Woods. I discussed this with our economics department, and they said you are correct. The quantity of money […]