Danielle Park
Portfolio Manager and President of Venable Park Investment Counsel (www.venablepark.com) Ms Park is a financial analyst, attorney, finance author and regular guest on North American media. She is also the author of the best-selling myth-busting book "Juggling Dynamite: An insider's wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts," and a popular daily financial blog: www.jugglingdynamite.com
October 10th, 2022 | Tech Leading Lower
Juggling Dynamite - Technology shares led overall markets higher from 2020 through 2021 as government hand-outs, low-interest rates, and spare time enabled both a retail spending boom and a gambling frenzy in financial markets. From the March 20, 2020, COVID crash lows of 6,879, the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index broke through 10,000 by July 2020 (not 3 months […]
October 6th, 2022 | Remember, USD Love is Cyclical Not Permanent
Juggling Dynamite - With most assets dropping in 2022, the US dollar (DXY) has been a rare standout, up 25% against a basket of global trade currencies since December 20, 2020, and 17% year to date. As with most trends, it’s common for humans to expect the status quo to continue indefinitely. Nothing ever does. After bouncing for […]
October 4th, 2022 | Fed Intent on Crushing Inflation
Juggling Dynamite - Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence, is joining us today. She was a former advisor to the Dallas Federal Reserve during the great financial crisis, working with Richard Fisher, and she’s author of the book Fed Up. Here is a direct video link.
October 3rd, 2022 | No Average Climate
Juggling Dynamite - Everywhere today, conversations are being had about what is happening in asset markets and the economy. Many people are in varying degrees of concern, alarm, and distress. Few are yet in a panic. History assures us that they will be. While 60.9% of investors surveyed in September were bearish in sentiment, as shown below courtesy […]
September 27th, 2022 | Housing Bubble Deflating
Juggling Dynamite - This video presents the US housing dynamics well. Unfortunately, after many similar factors, the Canadian housing excesses are even greater and the downside bigger. Home prices have greatly outpaced average persons disposable income. In the video we will explain what this means for the U.S. Housing market and how home prices corrected during similar housing […]
September 27th, 2022 | Central Banks, Inflation, Interest Rates, Mortgage Rates, Pensions
HoweStreet.com Radio - Money Laundering, Snow Laundering
September 26th, 2022 | Private Equity Losses Not Yet Booked
Juggling Dynamite - Public pensions have reported a median -7.9% for the fiscal year ended June 30–their biggest loss since 2009 (data published in The Wall Street Journal). This figure reflected the returns for traditional publicly traded investments like stocks and bonds to the end of the second quarter. However, illiquid assets, including private equity funds (PE), represented nearly a […]
September 23rd, 2022 | ‘Snow-Washing’ in Canada, Money Laundering All Star
Juggling Dynamite - I have long thought that a housing bust and ugly recession might finally catalyze a serious crackdown on money laundering in Canada. Apathy has been the status quo while asset prices were rising. Now, as prices plunge and pain spreads, public tolerance should shift. Realty reports show that many properties bought in early 2022 are […]
September 22nd, 2022 | Operation ‘Break Things’ To Continue
Juggling Dynamite - Hiking the US Fed funds rate a further .75 yesterday, now 3 to 3.25% (from 0 to .25% in March), Chair Powell acknowledged that unemployment will rise, adding: “Nonetheless, we’re committed to getting inflation back down to 2%.” Powell reiterated that his board plans to raise US base rates a further 1.25% (4.25 to 4.5%) by […]
September 19th, 2022 | 2022: Three Quarters of Pain and Counting
Juggling Dynamite - As we start the third week of September, with the US Fed’s much-telegraphed rate hike on Wednesday (+.75 with some 30% betting odds of a full percent!), markets are peaked. Bitcoin (-71%) continues to lead the crypto Ponzi down the back side of heartbreak hill. So far, the S&P 500 -20%, the Nasdaq -29%, and […]
September 16th, 2022 | $95 Billion in Monthly Liquidity Reduction to Begin Today
Juggling Dynamite - Starting today, the US Fed has pledged to run off its balance sheet (reduce liquidity in the banking system via ‘Quantitative Tapering’) by $95 billion a month–double the amount they were supposed to have been withdrawing (QT) since the start of June and about 5.5x the $17 billion per month they actually have withdrawn. We will […]
September 15th, 2022 | Consumer Dreams Evolving
Juggling Dynamite - There’s an old saying: the best days of owning a boat are the day you get it, and the day you sell it. The sentiment is especially true when people borrow to buy recreational items. While usage of the lifestyle item is periodic, related expenses tend to be continuous. Recreational properties and equipment saw a […]
September 15th, 2022 | Why Plummeting Home Prices Are Good
HoweStreet.com Radio - The impact of Quantitative Tapering being felt. Last night’s warning from global shipping bellwether FedEx that demand for freight has ‘significantly deteriorated’ highlights the major economic downturn underway. FedEx shares -22% today alone, are leading most other sectors as well as currencies lower (against the USD). See more at FedEx has the biggest drop in over […]
September 14th, 2022 | Lower Prices Improve Affordability and Investment Prospects
Juggling Dynamite - Well before the rate increases this year, many would-be investment properties had rents insufficient to cover expenses, and owners were subsidizing the negative carry in hopes that capital gains would more than repay their costs over time. This helpful calculator allows us to compare relative numbers. In February 2022, with the average Canadian national sale price of […]
September 13th, 2022 | EPB Macro: The Compounding Cost of Short-Term Thinking
Juggling Dynamite - This video offers an excellent overview of the compounding cost of short-termism and entitlement thinking in a world of corporations and households who expect endless government support and lower taxes. The U.S. Government is facing some serious fiscal and monetary issues that don’t seem to have a positive outcome. In this video we will see […]
September 12th, 2022 | World’s Hottest Housing Markets Face Painful Reset
Juggling Dynamite - The rapid cooldown in real estate threatens to worsen a global economic downturn and is emerging as a key variable for central bankers who want to tamp down inflation. Here is a direct video link. Also, see The World’s Hottest Housing Markets Face a Painful Reset In Australia and Canada — two of the world’s bubbliest markets […]
September 10th, 2022 | Synchronous Global Housing Downturn
Juggling Dynamite - This segment offers a good overview of the global housing downturn. Rather than thinking of it as a housing “crash” though, realists can see it as an inevitable mean reversion cycle following a massive speculative bubble. Home Prices across America are DROPPING FAST, according to New Data from Redfin. Metros like Austin, Dallas, San Jose, […]
September 9th, 2022 | Mortgage Stress is International Saga
Juggling Dynamite - Recent Canadian mortgage data compiled by the Bank of Montreal gives a glimpse at the rate of change afoot for many Canadian property owners: Some 20% of all Canadian mortgages outstanding ($260 billion) are variable rate loans taken out near the interest lows at 1.5% into February 2022. With rates on offer now closer to 5%, many […]
September 8th, 2022 | Desjardins: Canada the Most Debt Sensitive Economy in the World
Juggling Dynamite - Canada comes into this global downturn with a world-leading real estate bubble (property values accounting for some two-thirds of household net worth) and record-private debt levels at a whopping $7 trillion (households and businesses) in an economy tracking about $2.6 trillion in GDP. A bursting debt bubble in a poorly diversified economy largely dependent on […]
September 7th, 2022 | Debunking the Volcker Myth
Juggling Dynamite - The USD Index (DXY shown below since 1980) above 110 this morning is a 20-year high not seen since April 2002. The Euro (58% of the dollar index) is below par and at the lowest since July 2002, while the Japanese Yen (14%) is at the lowest since 1998, and the British Pound (12%) is […]
September 6th, 2022 | Quantitative Tightening is Supposed to Step up 5.5x This Month
Juggling Dynamite - Happy September!! Starting now, the US Fed is to run off its balance sheet (reduce liquidity in the banking system via ‘Quantitative Tapering’) by $95 billion a month–double the amount they were supposed to have been withdrawing (QT) since the start of June. In reality, though, rather than shrink its holdings by $45 billion a […]
September 1st, 2022 | Will Fed Keep Hiking Rates Until Economy Bleeds?
HoweStreet.com Radio - Are stocks still over valued?