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Danielle Park

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Portfolio Manager and President of Venable Park Investment Counsel (www.venablepark.com) Ms Park is a financial analyst, attorney, finance author and regular guest on North American media. She is also the author of the best-selling myth-busting book "Juggling Dynamite: An insider's wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts," and a popular daily financial blog: www.jugglingdynamite.com

January 11th, 2023 | This Housing Bust is Global

Juggling Dynamite - Canada led the world in the most egregiously inflated home prices in the past few years, but New Zealand, Australia and Sweden were other top-risk contenders. Now high debt levels are having similar demand and price-depressing impacts in many countries all at once. See Sweden is facing its ‘day of reckoning’ as house prices plummet: “We […]

Juggling Dynamite - In the first quarter of 2021, residential ‘investment’ in Canada (real estate commissions, construction of homes, significant renovations, and ownership transfer costs) comprised some 9% of Canada’s GDP, while business investment plunged. US residential investment peaked at 6.7% in 2006 before that epic bubble burst. We have noted repeatedly that Canada’s exuberance in real estate was an unsustainable […]

HoweStreet.com Radio - Interest Rates, Inflation

Juggling Dynamite - Two thousand twenty-two vaporized $25 trillion of notional equity value from global balance sheets, and the global bond market lost nearly $10 trillion more. Together, the decline in these two asset classes amounted to about a third of the world’s 2022 103.86 trillion GDP, not counting ongoing losses in real estate, commodities, or the crypto […]

December 30th, 2022 | Cheers To Healthful Longevity

Juggling Dynamite - Seventy-two percent of Americans (Canadians, about the same) are now overweight and obese, reducing the quality and quantity of their life. Not to mention crushing the sustainability of our sick-care system. Study after study shows that it’s the type and quantity of things we are consuming. Here’s to delicious things that don’t promote cancer, heart […]

Juggling Dynamite - I recently reviewed Canadian real estate metrics in Canadian home prices need to fall. The segment below reviews similar affordability deficits in US home prices. The median US household income is $54,000, while the household income needed to qualify to buy the median US single-family home is $87,000 (up nearly 50% year over year). Real estate presently […]

HoweStreet.com Radio - Canadian Real Estate still not affordable

December 20th, 2022 | Fun with Stocks and Curves

Juggling Dynamite - The S&P 500 is down just over 20% since January 4th and a seasonally unusual -6.4% month to date. Under the hood, the most widely held stocks are leading the descent. The top five most expensive S&P 500 companies are now: Apple (6.23% of index) -27% Microsoft (5.65% of index) -28% Amazon ( 2.42% of the index) […]

Juggling Dynamite - According to Statscan, 89% of Canadian individuals earn less than $100,000 annually. The median household income is $75,000 nationally (see more here) and just over $80,000 per year in the Greater Toronto (GTA) and Vancouver (GVA) areas. According to CMHC (calculator here), a household with $100,000 in annual income ($8,333 a month before tax) and no other debt can qualify […]

Juggling Dynamite - Bill White is a rare former central banker with decades of experience and a truth chip. Always refreshing to hear. Canada comes up in this discussion specifically. Here is a direct video link. Former central bank insider William White one-on-one with Quill Intelligence CEO & Chief Strategist Danielle DiMartino Booth. There’s no more consequential time to […]

Juggling Dynamite - Fourteen years of ever-easier money has reared a generation of mindless financial allocators and gambling preoccupations. Whatever this is, it’s not investing, and the costs of waste and mal-investment will be with us for years to come. Patience and self-discipline remain the best antidotes to destructive madness and mania. Danielle raises an interesting point in […]

Juggling Dynamite - November US CPI at 7.1% year over year was .2% lower than the 7.3% consensus forecast. Excluding food and energy, the consumer price index rose 0.2% in November (compared with .3% expected and was the smallest advance in 15 months), up 6% from a year earlier. Every sector showed a smaller increase in November than […]

Juggling Dynamite - Demand destruction is weighing on prices globally as financial conditions tighten. It’s not just interest rate increases three times faster than historical norms, an estimated $750 billion is running off of global central bank balance sheets monthly as the massive 2020-22 QE injections now reverse. Notwithstanding new sanctions on Russian oil and continued production cuts […]

December 8th, 2022 | Rosenberg: 2023 outlook

Juggling Dynamite - David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research, joins BNN Bloomberg to discuss his outlook for the Canadian economy amid rising rates. Rosenberg says the Canadian economy will receive the payback from the BoC’s tightening cycle, and he expects a recession to occur next year. Furthermore,Rosenberg adds the BoC could be forced to cut rates […]

December 8th, 2022 | Canada Recession in 2023?

HoweStreet.com Radio - Interest Rates, Mortgages, Auto Sales, EVs

Juggling Dynamite - The Bank of Canada raised policy rates another 50bps today, taking base rates in the banking system to 4.25% from .25% at the start of the year. As we look into 2023, it bears remembering that monetary changes move through the economy with lags of up to two years. The Bank of Canada explains on their […]

Juggling Dynamite - December 14 is expected to mark the US Fed’s 7th consecutive rate hike this cycle with a 50bp increase that will take the fed funds rate to 4.25-4.50%, the highest since December 2007. Chair Powell says they intend to hike more in 2022. We shall see! As of last Friday’s close, the 10-year minus 3-month […]

Juggling Dynamite - The host in this segment is awkward, but Grantham’s responses are worth a listen. When it comes to fighting climate change Jeremy Grantham is optimistic about technology – but worried about timing. Known widely for his acuity in identifying bubbles, the British investor contends that the one created by our dependence on fossil fuels is […]

Juggling Dynamite - Financial markets rocketed higher yesterday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank might scale back the pace of its interest rate hikes as early as December. Bullish hopes fixated on the prospect of a 50 bsp hike on December 14 rather than a fifth consecutive 75 bsp. This is the surreality of the most […]

Juggling Dynamite - A lucid macro overview in this discussion. Worth a mull. Michael Green, portfolio manager & chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management.  Here is a direct video link. Portfolio manager Michael Green returns for Part 2 of our interview with him to explain why he does not expect a “soft landing” for the economy and predicts stocks […]

Juggling Dynamite - After 12 years of ultra-low interest rates, generous government support, and unprecedented liquidity injections from central banks, the global real estate market is in the midst of a much-deserved contraction cycle. As the Financial Times put it this month, The Global Housing Market is Heading for a brutal downturn, and bubble prices and household debt make […]

Juggling Dynamite - Danielle was a guest with Elmer Kim and Hillary Johnstone on the CBC Weekend Business Panel. You can watch an audio clip of the segment here.

Juggling Dynamite - I have been writing for years about the train wreck unfolding in pension funds and individual retirement accounts that have migrated towards riskier holdings, leverage, “alternative,” and private equity allocations over the last 12 years of ultra-loose financial conditions. Needless to say, the cost of all this is not yet “marked to market.” The segment […]

Juggling Dynamite - On today’s edition of “Boiler Room,” Alfonso Peccatiello is joined by Eric Basmajian for a discussion on the rising risks of recession into 2023. With a focus on the cyclical & secular forces driving the global economy, Eric shares his framework for assessing the risks of recession in Q1 of 2023. Using both real-time and […]

HoweStreet.com Radio - Are Pension funds going to announce big losses?
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