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Danielle Park

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Portfolio Manager and President of Venable Park Investment Counsel (www.venablepark.com) Ms Park is a financial analyst, attorney, finance author and regular guest on North American media. She is also the author of the best-selling myth-busting book "Juggling Dynamite: An insider's wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts," and a popular daily financial blog: www.jugglingdynamite.com

Juggling Dynamite - The Canadian government’s plan to constrain population growth by reducing immigration over the next few years is designed to relieve demand pressure on key services like housing, education and health care. That’s needed. The downsides are that Canada’s economic growth will weaken, and the government will collect less revenue. RBC economists estimate the impact to be about […]

Juggling Dynamite - About 15 million, or 37% of Canada’s 40 million people, live in the Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal areas, three of the top seven least affordable cities in America and Canada. Over 25% live in the two least affordable cities—Vancouver and Toronto—where the average sale price in 2024 was 12.7x and 10.7x the median household incomes […]

Juggling Dynamite - Is the U.S. in the heat of a recession right now? A recent jump in bankruptcies resembles that of the Great Financial Crisis, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, tells Jeremy Szafron, Kitco News anchor, on the sidelines of the New Orleans Investment Conference. Booth discusses a range of topics, including […]

Juggling Dynamite - The S&P 500 (26% concentrated in the five most expensive tech companies) is trading at 38x smoothed 10-year earnings, just marginally below the all-time high of 43x briefly seen at the 2000 tech bubble top and much higher than the previous bubble top in 1929 (Shiller PE ratio below since 1870). But then, most are […]

Juggling Dynamite - About that Trump trade… The last time today’s expert was on the program back in July, she was concerned about rising unemployment. Is she still as worried about it as we prepare to enter a new year with a new Administration taking over? To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with […]

Juggling Dynamite - 2024 was about election promises. 2025 will be about the math of delivering. This segment looks at tariffs, taxes and spending cuts. With hedge fund manager Scott Bessent poised to be the next U.S. Treasury Secretary under the incoming Trump administration, ambitious plans are emerging to slash the national deficit-to-GDP ratio. But can they succeed? […]

Juggling Dynamite - The Canadian dollar is now at its lowest point since the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, and analysts predict it could fall below 70 cents US in the coming months. Andrew Chang explains why the dollar’s value has fallen so much and the impact it could have on everything from travel plans to interest rates […]

Juggling Dynamite - This week, we learned that the US index of leading economic indicators (Conference Board LEI) contracted to 99.5 in October—the 32nd consecutive month of contraction and the longest since at least 1957 (all shown below courtesy of The Daily Shot). The only LEI items that expanded in October were stock (green) and credit (pink) prices. […]

November 20th, 2024 | Even Higher Hopes

Juggling Dynamite - The S&P 500 is on track for its biggest election-year gain in 88 years. Still, according to the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey, the share of US consumers expecting stocks to rise further over the next 12 months has doubled over the last year to the highest percentage since this question was first asked […]

November 19th, 2024 | Euphoria Bounces Back

Juggling Dynamite - Since stock markets hit a two-year low last October, prices reflated on bets that artificial intelligence and central bank easing could solve spreading insolvency. Then came this month’s Republican sweep in the US election, and the crowd ordered another round. Risky assets went parabolic before selling off last week—the S&P 500 and Canada’s TSX remain […]

Juggling Dynamite - Here is a direct video link.

HoweStreet.com Radio - Will Government spending cuts dull the US economy?

Juggling Dynamite - With a price of more than 5x book value (lower right), U.S. stocks are the most overvalued since the tech-mania top in March 2020. At 3x price-to-sales (lower left), the recent euphoria has returned to the fall 2021 level and significantly overshot the 2000 top. As the S&P 500 has rebounded sharply over the past […]

Juggling Dynamite - Hoisington Management’s Quarterly Review and Outlook is now available here and always worth a mull. Central banks have been cutting overnight rates, but the money supply has continued to contract, with the latest reading lower than during the 2008 financial crisis. After years of zero-rate interest policies ballooned debt levels, the 2022-2023 monetary tightening cycle was the […]

November 11th, 2024 | Danielle on Thoughtful Money

Juggling Dynamite -  

Juggling Dynamite - The fourth year of a presidential cycle is all about promising. The first year of a presidential cycle is about trying to deliver on all the promises. At the start of President Trump’s last term in 2017, the U.S. government deficit to GDP was 3% versus 6% today. The federal debt as a percentage of […]

November 6th, 2024 | Rates Back Up More

Juggling Dynamite - It looks like the U.S. election is yielding a decisive verdict, and that’s good news. Risky assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies are up sharply on the promise of less regulation and further tax cuts from a Republican-led government. In less bullish news, the Treasury market continues to sell off, with a rate backup that began […]

Juggling Dynamite - A new CMHC report notes that 1.2 million mortgages are up for renewal in 2025 and 980,000 in 2026. About 85% have fixed rates contracted when mortgage rates were below 2% compared with over 4% today. Although the Bank of Canada has lowered its base rate from 5 to 3.75% since June, Canadian fixed-term loan […]

HoweStreet.com Radio - Did the Bank of Canada cut too much, too soon?

Juggling Dynamite - During the financial mania of 1634 to 1637, people bid up the price of tulip bulbs. At peak craziness, a “Semper Augustus” bulb sold for the equivalent value of a $14,000,000 mansion on the Amsterdam Grand Canal today. Then the fever broke, dragging bulbs and participants’ net worth back into the dirt. Today’s financial mania […]

Juggling Dynamite - David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc., joins Jack Farley on Monetary Matters to argue why a recession is likely to occur as soon as 2025. Rosenberg points to the low savings rate and argues that fiscal deficits and a stock market price bubble are boosting consumer spending and that this […]

October 25th, 2024 | Creating Your Best Future

Juggling Dynamite - Happy Friday! Keep Looking up! In this episode, my guest is Ari Wallach, most recently an adjunct associate professor at Columbia University’s School of International and Public Affairs and host of a new TV series titled A Brief History of the Future. We discuss the importance of learning to project our understanding of ourselves and […]

Juggling Dynamite - Four easing cycles have seen the Bank of Canada deliver larger than 25 basis point rate cuts at a time: 2001, after the US dot-com bubble and Sept. 11 attacks; during the global financial crisis; in the COVID economic shock of 2020 (see chart on the left); and now, in 2024. See Bank of Canada’s Deeper Cut […]

Juggling Dynamite - On September 18, the US Fed cut its overnight target rate by 50 basis points (bps), and risk markets went wild. Stock and corporate debt prices have risen to more all-time highs, and real estate bulls rejoice that lower interest rates will reignite loan demand and save highly leveraged property markets. The trouble is that […]

Juggling Dynamite - Aged populations are ballooning government deficits in most countries. The Bloc Québécois has threatened to force a snap election if Canada’s federal government doesn’t increase Old Age Security payments for people between the ages of 65 and 74 by 10 per cent. Andrew Chang breaks down the dilemma before the Liberals and why economists say […]
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