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December 1, 2024 | Cut $2 Trillion from the U.S. Budget…or What?

Let’s hope Musk and Ramaswamy have been paying close attention to David Stockman’s ten-part series on how to cut the U.S. budget before America spends its way into bankruptcy. Stockman was Reagan’s budget director in 1981-85 and is eminently qualified to spell out the tough reforms needed to force the U.S. to live within its means. He […]

November 24, 2024 | Let’s Execute a Few Internet Scammers!

Have you heard from “Cleo Kenmille” or “Caroline Johnson”? If not, consider yourself fortunate. Those are pseudonyms used by a crew of shitbags who work out of bucket shops that lie beyond the reach of international law. Their job is to steal money from you or anyone else who is familiar with PayPal, the online […]

November 17, 2024 | The King of Bullshit Money

Bitcoin:  The shysters who sold me bitoin KNEW it would come back. That’s because they made such a ‘generous’ offer to make all the losers whole. Sure, the payoff was in bullshot coin that would need a huge recovery in BTC just to become convertible into less-bullshit coin.  BUt they hung in there.  And the […]

November 14, 2024 | What’s in Store for Gold Under Trump?

When did real journalism start to deteriorate?

November 10, 2024 | What If It Really Is Morning in America?

I’ve been confidently anticipating the Mother of All Tops since, like, around 1975, but this week I decided to go wholeheartedly with the flow. The result, technically speaking, is a robustly optimistic S&P target at 7644.50. This might not be what permabears want to hear, but it will leave bulls sufficient room to deal with […]

November 3, 2024 | A Canny Silver Bull Trades Ingots for T-Bonds

[The author of this week’s commentary is an old friend who worked his way up from exchange-floor clerk to commercial real estate mogul over the time I’ve known him. He has demonstrated remarkable timing, courage and patience as an investor, buying commercial real estate at the bottom of the 2007-08 crash and holding it until […]

October 31, 2024 | A Trump Victory Already Priced Into Stock Market

Gold still has room to go higher

October 27, 2024 | An Election Week Scenario

You can always tell when portfolio managers are hard at play, immersed in an epic circle jerk that has become more tediously familiar with each passing week. And so it went on Friday, as money migrated for no discernible reason from certain, temporarily disfavored stocks to flavor-of-the-day hotties.  It seemed almost as though the chimpanzees […]

October 20, 2024 | Investors Go All-In for Trump

Wall Street has gone all-in for Trump, piling up such extravagant gains in the last few weeks that one might wonder what bold miracles investors expect of him. More likely, unfortunately, is that within a year or two of taking office, he will be overwhelmed by the collapse of a financial bubble that required only […]

October 17, 2024 | Is the Stock Market Anticipating a Trump Victory?

The strain on the grid from AI will be incredible

October 13, 2024 | Kamala Unwinding

[I can’t stomach news reports that take Kamala Harris’s candidacy seriously, especially articles suggesting with brazen implausibility that she is polling dead-even with Trump in some important swing states. Fortunately for those creeped out by all the tilted campaign coverage, my colleague James Howard Kunstler has compressed everything you need to know about the election into a […]

October 6, 2024 | Stocks Act Fearless as Oil Price Soars

If you can keep a cool head while everyone around you is panicking, perhaps you don’t understand the situation. That’s what they say, anyway. It is exactly what we saw last week when stocks barely shrugged even as the shooting war in the Middle East took another baby step toward nuclear conflagration. The oil markets […]

September 29, 2024 | Levitating Kamala

Expect stocks to continue their heedless waft into outer space until the election. They would not likely do so if investors even remotely imagined Kamala Harris might win. James Kunstler provided the most succinct reason we’ve heard for why this is not going to happen:  “The people in this land are finally sick of a […]

September 22, 2024 | Sell the News

The stock market went bonkers following the Fed’s first rate-cut since March 2020, but it’s more than a little tempting to sell the news. A return to easing had been rumored for the last couple of years, but with a pitchfork mob threatening to descend on the Eccles Building, Fed Chairman Powell finally gave in […]

September 19, 2024 | Will Fed Cut Save Stock Market from Correcting?

Does Gold still have room to go higher?

September 15, 2024 | The ‘Wealth Effect’ Is a Delusion and a Fraud

The so-called ‘wealth effect’ is the Tulipmania of this era on steroids, creating untold sums of money from speculative spume. If materializing vast quantities of spendable cash is the goal, a revved-up wealth effect makes the Fed Open Market Committee look like a ladies’ luncheon club. Indeed, it can take long months or even years […]

September 8, 2024 | Our #1 Bellwether Is at Cliff’s Edge

I continue to believe the bull market’s fate can be divined simply by paying close attention to price action in Microsoft shares. The company is not only the second-largest in the world by capitalization, slightly behind Apple; it is also the most important. That’s because its huge stream of revenues is all but impervious to […]

September 5, 2024 | Another 2008 Super Recession Ahead?

Was Post-Labour Day Market Dip Predictable?

August 22, 2024 | Which Stock to Watch to Catch Market Peak

Crude not reacting to world Geo-political events

August 18, 2024 | Time for a Holiday…

[I’m taking a summer break, so this will be my last commentary until after Labor Day. It will be the usual busman’s holiday for me, however, and actionable ‘touts’ for popular symbols will be updated ‘round-the-clock as always. Some recommendations will be accessible to non-paying subscribers, so be sure to check the home page regularly, especially if […]

August 8, 2024 | Could Market Rally Hit New Highs?

Interest rate cuts will be too late to prevent recession.  Special Offer!

August 4, 2024 | Time for a Holiday…

[I’m taking a summer break, so this will be my last commentary until after Labor Day. It will be the usual busman’s holiday, however, and actionable ‘touts’ for popular symbols will be updated ‘round-the-clock as always. Some recommendations will be accessible to non-paying subscribers, so be sure to check the home page regularly, especially if stocks go […]

July 28, 2024 | Time for a Holiday…

[I’m taking a summer break, so this will be my last commentary until after Labor Day. It will be the usual busman’s holiday, however, and actionable ‘touts’ for popular symbols will be updated ‘round-the-clock as always. Some recommendations will be accessible to non-paying subscribers, so be sure to check the home page regularly, especially if stocks go […]

July 25, 2024 | Is it Possible the Bull Rally is Over?

Crude’s expected break out peters out

July 21, 2024 | Big Selloff Was Tightly Scripted

Bears shouldn’t get their hopes too high just because the S&P 500 plummeted for three straight days last week. The selloff seemed tightly scripted, given that the Dow Industrials were rising just as sharply at least part of that time. This is shown in the chart above, which captures price action on Thursday. The implication […]

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