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April 3, 2025 | Tariffs are NOT Reciprocal
How did the Trump Administration come up with these tariff rates? Why would a nation like Madagascar, for example, with a small economy, be hit with a 47% tariff? Reciprocal tariffs were determined based on America’s trade deficit with other nations. They took each nation’s trade surplus with the US by total exports and […]
April 3, 2025 | DOGE Broadens Its Scope
Financial markets have many moving parts and the new Trump administration unnerves the status quo on both sides of the aisle. Inevitably, both good and bad will result from all of this mayhem. We must be capable of cognitive dissonance and hold opposing assessments depending on the issue; many are not. If asset bubbles continue […]
April 3, 2025 | Market Meltdown Will Lead to Great Buying Opportunities
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April 2, 2025 | Japan, China, and South Korea Strengthen Ties Amid US Tariffs
Tariff concerns have heightened to such an extreme level that China and Japan are discussing deepening ties. Donald Trump may be awarded a Nobel Peace Prize for that one. Japan and China, along with South Korea, held their first trade discussions in half a decade where they agreed to navigate US tariffs. One of the […]
April 2, 2025 | Weaker US Consumption Leads To 6.2Mb Increase In Commercial Crude Stocks. WTI Expected To Fall Below US$67/b.
While the US federal government cuts its employee count sharply in recent weeks the private sector is adding jobs at a fast pace. Today the ADP report showed private sector jobs rose 155,000 in March above the 120,000 forecast. Professional and business services added 57,000 workers, Financial services 38,000 (tax season ramp up), manufacturing 21,000 […]
April 2, 2025 | Heads Up
Historically, when the S&P 500 has fallen 10% and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has declined 50+ basis points, the U.S. economy has been heading into recession about 70% of the time. We reached both milestones in March. The economically sensitive small-cap Russell 2000 index is down 17% since last November, and Canada’s […]
April 1, 2025 | Art of the Collapse, April 2025
Two strange and unprecedented things (“scandals,” “outrages” — it’s hard to know what to call them) are triggering meme-makers as this is written. First, Elon Musk morphed from industrialist to government efficiency crusader, in the process enraging the segment of the population that owns Teslas, leading them to … vandalize Teslas: The other thing was that government […]
April 1, 2025 | Are States & Provinces Destined to Default by 2034?
You have to wonder why we have the most incompetent people in government, perhaps in history. While there is not a single leader in Europe who I would even want to have a drink with or shake hands, we see the same on the LEFT in the United States. No matter how often they […]
April 1, 2025 | Ice Storm For The Ages
It’s hard to imagine how damaging ice storms can be without witnessing them. After six decades of living in the north, this experience was a first for me. Big trees become weapons of mass destruction. There’s still no power or internet in our area. After a full day of sawing, cutting, and dragging tree parts, […]