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August 16, 2024 | Will Merchan Order Imprisonment of Trump on September 18th?

Martin Armstrong

Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

 

Bragg Merchan

This is the most bizarre election in American History, and given our computer wars, it will very likely be the last. This “acting” judge, Juan M. Merchan, is a prosecutor. How does an “acting” judge get the most important case in American political history? Prosecutor Bragg ran for election promising to take down Donald Trump. He is about as unbiased as Bill Gates when it comes to vaccines.

Judge Recusal

Juan Merchan has yet again denied Trump’s motion to recuse himself. The standard is that if his “impartiality might reasonably be questioned,” he is to step down. Merchan should recuse himself from such a high-profile case, and his failure to do so is taking the entire position of the rule of law into disrepute worldwide. On that score, the lucrative political work Merchan’s daughter has done for Vice President Kamala Harris should be seen as more significant now that Harris has replaced President Biden as Trump’s Democratic opponent in the upcoming election. This is just outrageous.

There is no denying that Bragg’s prosecutors used some of Trump’s official acts to prove their case. Indeed, they called as witnesses two of Trump’s White House staffers. Under the Supreme Court ruling, Bragg could not have used official acts, and this tainted the entire case. At the very least, this should have been a mistrial, for it is impossible to now separate the impact of using official acts and staff from the White House in this prosecution. Of course, Trump’s lawyers moved post-trial to have the guilty verdicts thrown out based on the high court’s immunity ruling.

Merchan has made it well known that not only has he refused to recuse himself against every principle of decency, but he has signaled that, come hell or high water, he intends to sentence Trump on September 18. He is clearly seeking to interfere in this election. This sentencing is just two days after early voting in the 2024 election begins in Pennsylvania. The Democrats are using this case to win the election. Here is what they are sending out:

Democrats Bernie Sanders

Merchan does not care about the law or justice. This is interfering in the 2024 election, and this is what this has been all about. We would expect this sort of thing from a Banana Republic steeped in corruption. This is what the United States has become, so our computer warns that there is NO POSSIBLE WAY the United States will survive this election. The nation will divide because this is so outrageous. Civilization works when we all benefit. When Obama was elected, those opposed to him just accepted and moved on. This time, there is no way this country will move on regardless of who wins.

This is what happened just back on January 20th, 2017, when Trump was inaugurated. This time, it is going to be far worse. It does not matter who wins; we are looking at civil unrest on a major scale. The Trump defense team has been trying to stave off sentencing, but Merchan will not do that, and the talk in New York City is that he wants to sentence Trump to prison, desperately believing that this will ensure a Democratic Victory.

Voting _18_U.S._Code_594_Intimidation_of_voters

Under these conditions, if Kamala were to win, I fear you are looking at a time when the Supreme Court may have no other choice but to reverse the election. What Merchan and Bragg are doing is an outright federal crime in light of the Supreme Court’s decision that held presidents (including former presidents) are (a) presumptively immune from criminal prosecution for any official acts taken as president and (b) absolutely immune if the official acts are core constitutional duties of the chief executive. The Court instructed that this immunity extends not only to charges but to evidence. That means prosecutors are not just barred from alleging official presidential acts as crimes; they are further prohibited from even using such acts as proof offered to establish other crimes.

2024 Presidential Election by Popular Vote

Here is the problem: there is NO POSSIBLE WAY to extract the “official acts” that Bragg introduced to get these convictions. If Kamala wins, this is going to present a significant Constitutional Crisis. Bragg and Merchan have absolute immunity from lawsuits for what they are doing but seek to deny a president the very same immunity that prosecutors and judges enjoy. Four of our six models show Trump should win. If he does not, this election is rigged, but it will be overturned this time. Only two models show a Democratic victory at best by only 51%.

2000 Presidential Popular Vote

Here is the computer forecast for the 2000 election. Only one model predicted a Trump victory, and two out of six were dead heats. Yes, they maneuvered the election in Congress to prevent a challenge to various states.

2016 PresElection Copy

Back in 2016, we projected against the odds that Trump would win against Hillary, who outspent him 40:1.  There was no model that showed a Hillary victory – not one.

These are NOT my personal opinions – this is an unbiased computer.

What is taking place worldwide is whoever is in power is being thrown out

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August 16th, 2024

Posted In: Armstrong Economics

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