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August 16, 2024 | Inflation Will Be Sticky and Keep Interest Rates Up

U.S. consumer inflation has returned to normal. This week’s 2.9 percent year-over-year gain for the CPI is not low in the historical context. Expectations for more good news on inflation are unrealistic outside of recession. And interest rates will not come down enough to satisfy both equity investors and highly indebted borrowers. In the chart […]

August 16, 2024 | Will Merchan Order Imprisonment of Trump on September 18th?

  This is the most bizarre election in American History, and given our computer wars, it will very likely be the last. This “acting” judge, Juan M. Merchan, is a prosecutor. How does an “acting” judge get the most important case in American political history? Prosecutor Bragg ran for election promising to take down Donald […]

August 16, 2024 | Pandemic Era Wealth Mirage Has Evaporated for Most

Stocks cheered yesterday on news that US households further eroded their savings in July, increasing retail sales by 1% while the average weekly earnings contracted by .1%. Year over year, retail sales volumes are running -.3% and full-time employment -.4%. Costco and Walmart are the best-performing retail companies. Everyday discounters are some of the few […]

August 16, 2024 | Markets Showing Signs of Major Fall Correction

What recession? US small business very confident

August 15, 2024 | Kennedy Removed from New York Ballot

  Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been shunned from the 2024 US Presidential race since he first announced his decision to run. Another corrupt New York judge has ruled in favor of the establishment by banishing Kennedy’s name from the upcoming ballot due to a discrepancy in his address. Obviously, Kennedy meets the requirement of […]

August 15, 2024 | Recession to Slow Inflation and Spike Unemployment

Nancy Lazar, Piper Sandler global chief economist, joins ‘Money Movers’ to discuss whether Tuesday’s economic data changes any of the economists’ forecasts, whether the Federal Reserve has room to focus on its employment mandate, and more. Here is a direct video link. Also, see, Investors return to bonds as recession fears stalk markets: Investors are piling back […]

August 15, 2024 | The Case for $3000 Gold

Fears of a US Recession overblown

August 14, 2024 | Two Wars And Geopolitical Tensions Have Lifted The Crude Oil War Premium Over US$10/b.

A last ditch political effort led by the Biden Administration to get an interim ceasefire deal between Hamas and Israel will take place tomorrow and Friday in both Dhoha and in Cairo. Israel and Hamas are not talking directly but the diplomats are scurrying between rooms to get an agreement that stops the fighting and […]

August 14, 2024 | Is Britain a Major Short? Is the EU Waging war on Free Speech?

  Britain has lost its historical roots and, thus, its mind.  Britain has embraced the very idea of George Orwell’s 1984 as a good idea. They now engage in a desperate attempt to imprison anyone who dares to criticize the government because they know they are losing power. Instead of looking objectively at what they […]

August 13, 2024 | When the Democrats Say They Are Defending Democracy They Mean the Opposite

  All we heard was they were defending Democracy by trying to keep Trump off the ballot and RFK, and they orchestrated a host of criminal actions against Trump, all by hand-picked Democratic prosecutors. Then I reported from the very beginning that Biden would step down after the Republican Convention and the scheme was to DENY the […]

August 13, 2024 | Where You Store It: Here’s a New Option

The choices for remote gold/silver bullion storage are multiplying. Here’s a new one that seems worthy of consideration. From the press release: Money Metals Opens Idaho-Based Gold Depository Larger Than Fort Knox Eagle, Idaho (August 12, 2024) – The Western United States now has its very own Fort Knox, only substantially larger. After three years of […]

August 13, 2024 | Canadian Real Estate Company Insolvency Outpacing Great Financial Crisis

From January to May this year, there was an average of 20 real estate, rental or leasing insolvencies in Canada every month where companies either sought bankruptcy protection or filed creditor proposals. At this pace, Canada is on track to reach about 240 corporate real estate insolvencies in 2024, which would be 57% more than in 2023 […]

August 12, 2024 | UK Govt Arresting Citizens over Mean Tweets

British Police: You’ve Made Some “Offensive” Comments on Facebook, and We’re Here to Arrest You After 3 young girls were brutally murdered, speech is the crime that police focus on. This type of sh*t is why Elon Musk believes, “Civil war is inevitable.” pic.twitter.com/WERQw79haJ — The Vigilant Fox 🦊 (@VigilantFox) August 6, 2024 The UK […]

August 12, 2024 | Slinging Mud

Happy Monday Morning! The cost of living and housing affordability remain the top areas of concern amongst Canadians, according to recent polling surveys. We’ve got an important provincial election this fall in BC, and the feds next year. If you’re a policy maker it’s time to look busy and that’s exactly what they’re doing- slinging mud […]

August 11, 2024 | 25 Years and Counting

I can’t let this month pass without noting a significant anniversary: This is the 25th year I’ve been writing Thoughts from the Frontline. The first few issues were lost to the electronic gods and my lack of technical prowess back then. That quickly changed. You can visit the archive and see every issue since January 2001 (including, trust […]

August 11, 2024 | Is this Election Going to All Fake Photos?

Is anything real anymore? This photo appears to be Photoshopped, for when you look at the reflection on the underbelly of the plane and on the engine, you do not see the crowd. Normally, Harris and her leftist attendant would pause and waive to people if they were really there. The polls will be rigged […]

August 11, 2024 | Weekend Short Takes: The Carry Trade, Mass Migration, Google Spying

There are more interesting ideas than time in which to consider them. So here’s a new series that bundles bite-sized explanations and suggestions into a quick weekend read. The Yen Carry Trade The “carry trade” is making headlines without, in many cases, being adequately explained. Last week The Kobeissi Letter fixed that with a concise (if […]

August 10, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes for August 10, 2024

Mean reversion was nasty on Monday, but mellowed by Friday The Nikkei plunged to a 10-month low on Monday, down ~28% from July’s record highs and down ~20% in three trading days (the sharpest decline since the crash in October 1987.) By Friday’s close, the Nikkei had rebounded ~15% to close slightly higher on the […]

August 10, 2024 | This Week in Money

August 10, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday August 10th 2024

The Bottom Line Focus this week is on U.S. inflation and its impact on U.S. interest rates. Growth in Producer and Consumer Prices on a year-over-year basis continues to trend down, but at a lower rate. Traders will watch closely the July PPI report on Tuesday and the July CPI report on Wednesday. Second quarter […]

August 9, 2024 | Why Republics Will Fall

Republics are the worst form of government, for every representative can be bribed. Those who are honest get very frustrated, for they will pass rules to prevent anyone from actually even making a motion on the floor. Motions will have to come from Committees. If you do not play nicely, the speaker decides who gets […]

August 9, 2024 | The Stock Market Correction is a Warning Sign

U.S. stock markets crashed from Friday last week through Monday this week. High flying tech stocks cratered as well as the broad indexes like the S&P 500 and Japan’s Nikkei. Was this a crash of the large-cap technology sector, or does it signal the broader market is entering a bear phase? On Monday night some […]

August 9, 2024 | Trillions Spent on Climate Change a Waste of Money?

Should there be a Gold Bitcoin ratio?

August 8, 2024 | The Riots in the UK – Coming to the USA Soon

    Our computer has been forecasting a major rise in civil unrest on a global scale. We are witnessing this from Nigeria to Europe and even in Britain. It will migrate to the United States, and we should be prepared for NOBODY to accept this election REGARDLESS of who wins. The mainstream press will […]

August 8, 2024 | Market Mayhem, War, No Mortgage Funding, England Revolt

Covid Aftermath, Deep State Takedown, Sleeper Cells

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