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June 30, 2024 | Debtors and Creditors

  The giant federal debt we’ve been talking about isn’t just borrowed money. It is also lent money. Loans are two-party transactions. One side receives temporary use of cash which it agrees to repay with interest. The other gives up the current use of that cash in exchange for receiving interest. Ideally, it works out for both… […]

June 30, 2024 | Brussels has More Power Than Rome – Italy Balks at Climate Change Agenda

  Italy’s new PM, Giorgia Meloni, is learning that she cannot pick and choose what policies Italy would like to adopt from the ruling authority in the European Union. I was willing to give Meloni the benefit of the doubt after she rose to power from virtually nowhere as a perceived anti-establishment, right-winged nationalist candidate […]

June 30, 2024 | Dollar Derangement Syndrome

Of all the markets tracked by Rick’s Picks, the dollar arguably has been the most interesting. This might seem paradoxical, given the relatively placid look of the Dollar Index chart above. Although there has been moderate turbulence since early last year, the overall impression is of a transoceanic flight cruising within a vertical range of several […]

June 29, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes For June 29, 2024

The bond market had a bad Friday This week, price action across asset classes was “mid-summer quiet” ahead of Thursday’s Presidential debate and Friday morning’s PCE report. There were no dramatic market moves immediately following the debate, and the PCE data early Friday was pretty much as expected, perhaps even a shade “benign” in that […]

June 29, 2024 | Health Prepping: Microbiome Maintenance is Key to…Everything

Among the keys to a long, healthy life are exercise, sunshine, and not smoking. But the most important of all might be maintaining a balanced microbiome. Here’s a quick primer: The term “microbiome” refers to the trillions of bacteria, viruses, fungi, and other microscopic living things that exist mainly inside our intestines and on our […]

June 29, 2024 | This Week in Money

June 29, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday June 29th 2024

The Bottom Line The stage is set for the Summer Rally. See comments below Economic News This Week   June ISM Manufacturing PMI released at 10:00 AM EDT on Monday is expected to increase to 49.0 from 48.7 in May. May U.S. Construction Spending is released at 10:00 AM EDT on Monday. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell […]

June 28, 2024 | Trump vs Biden Debate – The Setup for Hillary

  Welcome to the fix. CNN was proud to announce that this was the first debate to ever take place BEFORE each candidate was actually nominated by their respective parties. The reason for this was to set the stage for Democrats to move to replace Biden with Hillary. CNN moderators did an amazing job of […]

June 28, 2024 | The Financial Stability Report Highlights Some Warnings About The Health of the Canadian Financial System

The resilience of Canadians and the Canadian financial system is very important to Canadians. The Bank of Canada monitors this, and reports that the financial system is sound. But there are a large number of mortgage renewals and payment adjustments about to hit over the next few years. In a recent speech Tiff Macklem, BOC […]

June 28, 2024 | Governments Ignoring the Dangers of Deficits

Denmark first to impose carbon tax on farmers

June 27, 2024 | RecycLiCo™ Keeping Eyes On The Prize

Stricter Recycling Regulations, BMW Plugged In. Read INN Article – “eWaste: From Recycling Challenge to Emerging Opportunity“. View RecycLiCo’s Company Presentation. Watch Roundtable Video with Sandy Munro, Jason Fenske and Norm Chow: “RecycLiCo Battery Recycling Q&A with Engineering Explained & Kemetco Research“. Watch – We upcycle cathode scraps and black mass into higher-value battery materials! Video  – The demonstration plant […]

June 27, 2024 | Warner Brothers & CNN Disaster

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Socrates has been so bearish on CNN’s owner, Warner Brothers, and the dabate is so rigged that other networks are even up in arms over CNN’s rules. We sold down all our institutional holdings in Warner Brothers, thanks to Socrates. Do you think this stock will collapse due to this debate that looks […]

June 27, 2024 | Total US Energy Stocks Rose 9.4 MB Last Week. WTI Crude Should Breach US$80/B in the Coming Days

Mixed economic data continues to sway markets from euphoria to concern as each data piece is scrutinized for signs of economic progress with declining inflation or signs of economic weakness and job layoffs with rising inflation. Canada got a surprise on the inflation front on Tuesday with the core May CPI (month over month) which […]

June 27, 2024 | Are the Markets About to Pull Back?

Crude the only commodity not to fall the last 10 days.  Receive 50% Off VR Trader Newsletters! Enter Promo Code 2022HALFOFF.

June 27, 2024 | Is the Stock Market a One Trick Pony?

Should tariffs replace income taxes? Special Free Trial Offer!

June 26, 2024 | Easy Money Has Yielded a Vicious Payback Period

Interest rates and high debt levels are biting hard in Canada; the economy is weak, and layoffs are rising. Toronto’s new home sales were down 71% compared to May 2023, with new condo sales down 75% and new single-family home sales down 65%. The same period saw an increase of 20,427 new home listings in […]

June 26, 2024 | Canadian Unemployment and Bankruptcies Surging

Investors blindly throwing their money into AI

June 25, 2024 | Inflation in Canada Throws Another Curveball: Core CPI Spikes Month-to-Month by Most since 2022

When the Bank of Canada cut its policy rates by 25 basis points earlier in June, it based that cut on the inflation rates that had cooled sharply, and it based further cuts on these trends continuing. But leery of just the sort of reversal inflation dished up today, BOC governor Tiff Macklem said at […]

June 25, 2024 | Lags Demand Respect

The US 10-2yr Treasury yield curve has been inverted (two-year yields higher than ten-year) for 23 months since July 2022. An inversion in this spread has preceded the onset of every recession in the last 50 years by an average of 10 months. Generally,  longer-than-average inversion periods (11 months Sept 12, 1980 to Oct 23, […]

June 25, 2024 | Did Real Estate Peak with the ECM in May 2024?

  COMMENT: Marty, you are by far the greatest long-term forecaster ever. I worked on the floor in 2007 when the market crashed on the exact day of your ECM. Everyone called it Armstrong’s Revenge. That was the very day of the high in the Shiller Real Estate Index for 2007. I know you say […]

June 25, 2024 | Luxury Troubles

Happy Monday Morning! National house prices slid lower in the month of May, falling 2.4% from last year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the national home price index is now down 14% since peaking in February 2022, marking the steepest decline since the index was created back in 2005, per CREA. Source: CREA It’s true […]

June 24, 2024 | Mindless Capital Allocation Leads to Bad Investment Outcomes

Mindless capital allocation leads to wasted resources and bad investment outcomes. We’ve just come through a decade of some of the dumbest financial choices in history–that’s been very expensive. In the midst of a housing supply crisis, thousands of condos in Canada’s largest cities are sitting empty. Most, experts say, are less than 500 square […]

June 24, 2024 | Scary Stat Alert: The Government Liquidity Index

Not that we need any more scary statistics, but here’s one that might be worth watching. From the Brave browser’s AI summarizer: Government liquidity index The government liquidity index is a metric that measures the ease or difficulty of trading in government securities, such as U.S. Treasury bonds. It is a gauge of deviations in yields from a […]

June 24, 2024 | The Western Mainstream Press – Just Want War

  COMMENT: Marty: Hello from the UK across the pond. Nigel Farage has come out and said what you have been reporting all along – that the West started this war. You can certainly tell you are friends. BK REPLY: It is interesting how little intelligence exists in the mainstream media. There are just no […]

June 23, 2024 | Canada’s Population Explodes Surpassing 41 Million

  Canada’s population has surpassed 41 million, but it is not due to new births. Statistics Canada declared that the population rose 0.6% or 242,673 people since last quarter, standing at 41,012.563 as of April 2024. The nation rose by 1.27 from 2022 to 2023 or a 3.2%. . Nearly all population growth (99.3%; 240,955 […]

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