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May 3, 2023 | Monetary shock with negative impacts through 2023 and 2025

Danielle Park

Portfolio Manager and President of Venable Park Investment Counsel (www.venablepark.com) Ms Park is a financial analyst, attorney, finance author and regular guest on North American media. She is also the author of the best-selling myth-busting book "Juggling Dynamite: An insider's wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts," and a popular daily financial blog: www.jugglingdynamite.com

An April 2023 NBER paper warns that the Fed’s rapid tightening actions since 2022 were a monetary shock that has negative economic impacts for this year and next. Mind the lags. See Does Monetary Policy Matter? The Narrative Approach after 35 years; the conclusion:

Based on the empirical estimates of the effect of previous shocks, one would expect substantial negative impacts on real GDP and inflation in 2023 and 2024.

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May 3rd, 2023

Posted In: Juggling Dynamite

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