Apr 13

Diverging Policy is Not Just Currency Game

Global stock markets were higher again last week...Europe and Asia (especially China) have rallied strongly the past two months while…

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Mar 18

Get the Dollar Right

We’ve maintained our bullish US Dollar bets with CAD short positions (we “coulda/shoulda” been more aggressive given the US Dollar…

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Jan 26

A Central Bank World

The Central Banks of Switzerland, Canada and the EU have rocked the markets…but the most important question in Central Bank…

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Jan 12

Everybody Loves the USD! Be Cautious Around Consensus

We think financial markets are beginning to have second thoughts about the Fed…a month ago “everybody knew” that the Fed…

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Dec 24

Huge Reversals to Watch and Some to Trade

Market Psychology was grim early last week…afraid of the unknown consequences of Crude Oil’s nasty decline…then psychology reversed on a…

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Dec 16

Energy Market Contagion Fear

The free-fall in oil prices…WTI down $50 (47%) since June…hit Market Psychology HARD last week…risk aversion soared…credit spreads widened with…

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Dec 8

What a Strong USD Means for CAD, Gold

We have been resolutely Bullish the US Dollar this year…all of our trading in the currency futures and options market…

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Nov 10

Correction In Dollar Bull Market? Commodity Bounce?

We believe that the US Dollar is in the early stages of a multi-year bull marketBUT…short term…we think that the…

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Nov 3

The Market Just Changed, Change With It!

The BOJ used “shock and awe” on the markets last week…announcing a MASSIVE increase in their QE program…a program they…

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Oct 28

Our Key Level That Will Tell Us To

In the last 3 years the US Dollar Index has rallied ~19% while major commodity indices have fallen ~30%. We…

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Oct 21

Trading the Topping Stock Market

“Fear” blew out Wednesday (Oct 15) but not before investors realized that, “When markets are falling hard you have no…

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Oct 15

Raise Rates or Not, Either Way Volatility is

Market Psychology began to go “risk off” the first week of September as capital retreated from the periphery to the…

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Oct 7

Relentless Dollar Needs a Rest

The US Dollar has surged higher the last few weeks...as money leaves the "rest of the world" and comes to…

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Sep 23

7 Charts that Turned Lower the 1st Week

We have been relentlessly bullish the US Dollar for over a year… it closed at 4 year highs last week…it has…

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Sep 9

ECB Promises While The US Dollar Drives Higher

The ECB got off the fence last week and announced another round of stimulating monetary policies…the Euro tumbled…the US Dollar…

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Sep 2

History Rhymes – 7 Must See Dollar Driven

We believe that the US Dollar is in the early stages of a MAJOR BULL MARKET…we look for it to…

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Aug 18

Bonds up Big!

It’s Bull Market in Bonds…The US bond market has hugely out-performed the stock market this year…up ~16%...while the DJIA is…

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Aug 11

8 Key Charts to Watch

Last week Market Psychology was driven by rapidly escalating Geopolitical Stress (Ukraine, Gaza, Syria/Iraq) with the major stock indices hitting…

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Aug 5

4 Examples that “Risk Happens Fast”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average registered a very rare “Monthly Key Reversal Down” in July…this may signal the beginning of…

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