Jun 18

What Do You mean You Don’t Get It?

"I am not sure I get what the ECB tries to convey with this," said Deutsche Bank senior European economist…

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Jun 12

A Treasury Bond Buying Opportunity Triggered By An

One way or the other the world must rebalance, and it will. Major imbalances are unsustainable and always eventually reverse,…

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Jun 11

Will BOJ News Force Fresh Draghi Reassurances?

On Friday I discussed the potential European Central Bank President Mario Draghi would open his mouth. Perhaps the odds are increasing…

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Jun 7

Patience, Young Grasshopper — Draghi Will “Save The

The driver of the euro has changed a bit in recent months. Certainly expectations have. Traders now expect the European Central…

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May 22

If China Real Estate equals Forced Savings. “Danger

In case you weren't aware of it, China's currency, by virtue of its soft "peg" to the US dollar, is…

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May 7

Central Banks Are Demigods

No, not because Warren "I never met a camera or young female reporter I didn't like" Buffet says so. No,…

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Apr 25

Two Good Reasons Why Gold is Toast

There are two powerful reasons why the gold bull market may be over...1) A stronger dollar; and 2) Increasing US…

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Apr 15

Gold Down BIG … As China Is Put

Commentators today are writing about one of two things: gold or China. I figure I’ll write about both. In fact, Jack and…

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Apr 5

The BOJ “Did Something So Dramatic … People

Are we there yet? Are we at the point where people might ignore the central banks? Thankfully, maybe. George Soros made a valid…

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Apr 2

The X-Factor for Market Fallout: Erosion of Confidence

Since 2009 we've watched analysts and commentators seize on crisis talking points. Often times, we were right there ringing the…

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Apr 1

Notes On Rebalancing: Chinese Consumer Demand and The

We continue to believe that the world is still in need of major rebalancing. Global policymakers have faced an onslaught of…

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Mar 25

From Taxation To Confiscation: We Are Still Learning

It got too much play. The proposal to levy an across-the-board tax on deposits in Cypriot banks, for good reason,…

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Mar 21

Revisiting: An end to the Commodities Super Cycle

In our Global Investor monthly newsletter, back in November, 2012, we laid out the case for an end in the…

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Mar 17

Japanese Yen Correction On Rising Asian Tensions?

North Korea isn't happy. China reinforced its goal to become a military power.  Throw in the rising confidence being expressed…

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Mar 11

The Clash of Great Powers – US &

As you know there are many "schools" and theories revolving around international politics.  The theory of "offensive realism" as articulated…

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Mar 8

Chinese Exports – Implications – FX Price Action

  Part I: China exports booming; imports not so much! The US dollar likes it. But there are vast strategic implications…

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Mar 6

The Australian Dollar Has Topped

We shared this long-term chart of Australian $-US$ with our clients recently. I find it amazing. It shows a perfectly…

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Mar 4

Largest Real Estate Bubble in Human History

 "It [China] may have created the largest real estate bubble in human history," was the introduction by Lesley Stahl of…

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Mar 1

Do Keynesians read history or just make it

..It seems to me the latter. Let's look at a time in history when there was a clear cut test…

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