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What in the #@!!* am I doing out here? |
by
Tony Sagami
Before I arrived in Jakarta, my pre-trip research unearthed a little
known Indonesian construction supply company. Everything looked good
on paper — but then a lot of companies look good on paper ... such as
Enron ... so I made arrangements to do some of my
unorthodox-but-enriching, boots-on-the-ground research.
Like the Starship Enterprise, I was headed to a place where no man —
at least not any Gucci loafer, Armani suit, Wall Street portfolio
managers — has gone before.
Indonesia: Filthy Rich in Natural Resources
Jakarta is the largest city on Java, the largest of Indonesia's 17,000
islands, and straddles the equator.
Jakarta is a virtual melting pot of different cultures: Bataks from
Sumatra, Ambonese from Maluku, Balinese, Madurese and Timorese, as
well as people from around the world. This mixture of languages and
cultures makes Indonesia one of the most diverse cities of the world.
The most influential foreign impact came from the Dutch, who arrived
in 1596 taking advantage of Indonesia's strategic location between the
Indian and Pacific oceans and turning Jakarta into an important
Southeast Asian trading hub.
The Dutch built a new city, Batavia, which remained the center of
power for them in South East Asia for the next 350 years. Indonesia
became known to the rest of the world as the Dutch East Indies.
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Indonesia's Annual GDP Growth Rate |
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2007: 5.5%
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2008: 6.3%
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2009: 6.1%
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Indonesia has a market-based economy in which the government plays a
significant role. There are 139 state-owned enterprises, and the
government administers prices on several basic goods, including fuel,
rice, and electricity.
Its GDP grew by 4% in the second quarter and that makes Indonesia the
third fastest growing economy in Asia behind China and India. Most of
that growth in Indonesia came from its own domestic consumption, which
accounted for about 60% of total GDP.
You probably think of Saudi Arabia, Iran, Kuwait and other oil-rich
Middle Eastern countries when you think of OPEC, but many people don't
realize that Indonesia was a member of OPEC, the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Well ... at least it was until 2008 when it voluntarily withdrew from
OPEC. The reason was because Indonesia was growing so rapidly that it
needed all the oil it produced and actually became a net petroleum
importer in 2004. That little factoid should tell you volumes about
the opportunity in Indonesia.
Besides oil, Indonesia has a wide range of mineral deposits and
production, including bauxite, silver, tin, copper, nickel, gold,
coal, and the minerals used to make cement. Speaking of cement ...
Concrete: The World's Most Widely Used Material
Let me tell you about my day last Thursday.
First, I rode in a taxi that needed a new pair of shocks and an air
conditioning recharge five years ago. My 90-minute destination was the
Batavia Marina, a seldom-visited, secondary shipping port far on the
outskirts of Jakarta.
The fleet moored at the Batavia Marina had seen its better days. Some
of the ships listed so badly to one side that I thought they were
going to tip over and the entire fleet may have been launched during
Grover Cleveland's administration.
After shaking my hand, my eager guide handed me an axe handle. "Just
for safety from wild dogs," he said as he tapped his against his
calloused palm.
"Great," I thought to myself. My University of Washington professors
never told me about snarly, wild Indonesian dogs during my finance
classes.
It
only took 60 seconds to get drenched in perspiration. The island of
Java lies on top of the equator so it was a horribly hot 94 degrees in
the shade and somewhere close to 100% humidity. I was sweating my butt
off.
So
here I am, watching out for wild dogs, enduring the suspicious stares
from dock workers, weathered and stooped from years of back-breaking
manual labor in the hot equatorial sun.
My
target was a large group of aging freighters hired to ship bags of
cement mix from Jakarta to Borneo and then on to China and India. The
company executive I spoke with on the phone told me that China and
India were buying every single bag of cement they could get their
hands on so they were hiring extra freelance ships to handle the
overflow of business.
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Aging freighters at Batavia
Marina have been hired to ship cement mix to China and India via
Borneo. |
I've learned over the years, however, not to believe everything I'm
told so this was something I wanted to see for myself, and that is how
I ended up at the Batavia Marina.
There was an ant-like line of men marching from a flatbed truck over a
narrow plank to the ship. One slip and it would be a quick dunk in the
harbor, which had a few too many floaties that looked like Baby Ruth
candy bars (if you know what I mean).
From 7:00 in the morning until 5:00 at night, these men were hefting
50 kilogram (110 lbs) bags of cement mix for 2 million rupiah a month
— a paltry $200 a month in U.S. dollars — and doing so in the blazing
heat and humidity of equatorial Indonesia.
My
father grew potatoes on our western Washington farm and I've done my
share of heavy, manual labor in my youth, so when one of the dock
workers challenged me with sign language to lift a bag ... I
idiotically accepted the challenge.
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Tony Sagami hauls cement in
Indonesia. |
I
gave up after four bags and walked away with even more respect for
these hard-working men. It was indeed back-breaking manual labor, but
these men were grateful for the work and I found yet another example
of the work ethic that can be found all over Asia.
I
asked my guide how many other Wall Street types had visited this
marina. He belly-laughed and made a big O with his two hands and said
"zee-row." Yeah, I'm pretty sure the closest any of my competitors had
come to this cement company was a meeting at the plush and
air-conditioned concierge lounge at the Jakarta Ritz Carlton hotel.
On
the other hand, I hope my competitors NEVER find the guts to go where
I do. These undiscovered gems are the little wealth-building secrets
that you'll never hear anywhere else.
And next Friday, I am going to tell my
Asia Stock Alert about the absolute, single-best, #1
stock that I found during my trip to Indonesia. Subscriptions to the
newsletter are only $199 a year, probably the best investment value
you'll find. Join me!
Regards,
Tony